Bangladesh has been thrust into political uncertainty following a series of dramatic events that led to the ousting of its long-serving Prime Minister, Sheikh Hasina. However, recent developments suggest that she may be on the verge of reclaiming power. With growing international involvement, particularly from India, and a fractured political landscape, Bangladesh’s future remains unpredictable.
In This Article:
A Political Shake-Up: What Happened to Sheikh Hasina?
The political turmoil in Bangladesh began in August 2024 when nationwide student-led protests erupted over economic distress, governance failures, and alleged authoritarianism under Sheikh Hasina’s leadership. The unrest quickly escalated, forcing Hasina out of power as an interim government was installed under Nobel Laureate Dr. Muhammad Yunus, a long-time critic of the Awami League.
The interim government was meant to restore stability and oversee fresh elections, but it has struggled to consolidate power amid deepening divisions. Hasina’s absence did not end political unrest but rather intensified it, with her party, the Awami League, refusing to recognize the legitimacy of the new administration.
India’s Role in the Political Crisis
As tensions escalated, reports surfaced that Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi played a crucial role in providing Sheikh Hasina and key Awami League leaders safe passage amid fears of persecution. This intervention underscores the deep India-Bangladesh ties and India’s vested interest in regional stability.
India has historically supported Sheikh Hasina, seeing her as a reliable ally in countering Islamist extremism and maintaining economic ties. With Bangladesh’s growing geopolitical significance, India is unlikely to remain a passive observer in this crisis. The latest developments suggest that diplomatic backchannel talks are paving the way for Hasina’s return.
Legal Action Against Hasina: A Power Play?
In a surprising move, a Dhaka court recently ordered the seizure of Sheikh Hasina’s assets and froze 124 bank accounts linked to her family and party members. This legal action, viewed as politically motivated, has further fueled speculation that the interim government is trying to prevent Hasina’s resurgence.
However, this crackdown has triggered strong backlash from Awami League supporters, who have organized large-scale protests demanding Hasina’s reinstatement. The Bangladesh Ministry of Foreign Affairs has also criticized statements from her camp, urging restraint and diplomatic resolution.
Can Sheikh Hasina Make a Comeback?
Despite her removal, Sheikh Hasina’s political influence remains formidable. The Awami League’s grassroots support, coupled with India’s backing, puts her in a strong position to make a comeback in Bangladesh’s next elections.
Several factors could determine Hasina’s return to power:
- India’s Continued Support: If Modi’s government intensifies its diplomatic efforts, Hasina’s path to reinstatement could be accelerated.
- Awami League’s Mobilization: Large-scale protests could pressure the interim government into allowing a fair election.
- Economic Instability: The current administration’s failure to stabilize the economy may drive public sentiment back in Hasina’s favor.
- International Pressure: The UN and other global bodies may intervene if the political crisis escalates further.
The Future of Bangladesh’s Democracy
The crisis raises critical questions about the state of democracy in Bangladesh. Sheikh Hasina has been accused of suppressing opposition voices and centralizing power, but her removal has not led to greater political stability. Instead, the power struggle has exposed deeper institutional weaknesses in Bangladesh’s governance.
If Hasina returns, it remains to be seen whether she will reform her leadership approach or continue her strong-handed governance style. Conversely, if the interim government remains in power, Bangladesh could experience prolonged political instability.
Sheikh Hasina’s political journey is far from over. While she faces legal and political hurdles, her extensive support base and India’s backing make a return to power highly likely. However, Bangladesh stands at a crossroads, and the coming months will be crucial in shaping its political future.
By – Jyothi
